April 3, 2015-Will Russia or the USA make the first strike?


Most Likely to Fight

               Men   Planes       Tanks      Carriers  Subs    Rockets

Russia      766,000      3,082        1,550         1            62          3,781

China    2,825,000     2,788          9,150         1            69          1,770

India     1,325,000     1,785          3,569          2            17            292

Total  4,916, 000     7,655      14,261    4      148        5,843

(NOTE: The forces of North Korea would be absorbed by China          

 Ukraine and Belarus have a combined military strength of 200,000 men)    

 USA Allied Nations Conventional Military Strength

Men         Planes    Tanks     Carriers   Subs    Rockets

USA   1,430,000      13,685    8,325          10           72        1,330

UK        205,330            900       400          1           11            60

FR        230,000         1,200       420          1            10            60

GRM   180,000             710      410            0              4          250

TURK  410,500             990    3,660           0             14          650

S KOR 640,000         1,400    2,350           0             14           250

JAP    250,000          1,600        770              1              16           100

TOT  3,345,830  20,475  8,325       13         141       2,700

Source: Global Fire Power


In order to measure the impact of these Russian energy deals, begin to subtract out Turkey, Germany and France’s contribution to NATO. Then consider, in a nightmarish scenario, if Turkey, Germany and France don’t just withdraw from NATO, but militarily align with Russia, the United States would not have a prayer of winning World War III.

Does anyone believe that Putin does not have the capacity and the motivation to break up NATO?

Russia Putin

“The Ukrainian crisis was not caused by the Russian Federation,” said Putin in remarks posted on the Kremlin website. “It emerged in response to the attempts of the US and its western allies – who consider themselves ‘winners’ of the cold war – to impose their will everywhere.”

Putin’s remarks make it quite clear that the outcome of the Cold War is personal to him. And when emotions get involved, logic can quickly disappear. That would be the logic that a leader needs to avoid war.

The only question remains is will Putin wait to attack the United States when the U.S. is isolated and out of options? It is not likely that Putin would give away the strategic advantage of a first strike. If Putin waits until the U.S. is out of options, he would negate the element of surprise and risk an American first strike. Logic would dictate that Putin will strike when Germany leaves NATO.


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